H5N1 Avian bird flu forecast

Be aware and prepare

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We are currently in Phase Three of a Pandemic Alert period as defined by the World Health Organization (WHO)

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Epidemic-prone and emerging disease threats

The following list is being watched by the WHO's Epidemic and Pandemic Alert and Response (EPR)

* Anthrax
* Avian influenza
* Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever
* Dengue haemorrhagic fever
* Ebola haemorrhagic fever
* Hepatitis
* Influenza
* Lassa fever
* Marburg haemorrhagic fever
* Meningococcal disease
* Plague
* Rift Valley fever
* Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
* Smallpox
* Tularaemia
* Yellow fever

In addition, WHO has required that all cases of cholera, polio, relapsing fever, SARS and typhus, be reported to it. Tuberculosis, HIV, botulism and other communicable diseases that can potentially threaten the general population are monitored on national or regional levels.
 

Number of natural catastrophes per Decade

Avian (bird) flu forecast Comments

"During the SARS outbreak,
anxiety translated into a desire to take personal action, and information shaped this action in a positive way.." WHO

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2008: H5N1, avian (bird) influenza - be aware and prepare

The Practical Site to help you and your family understand the issues, concerns and steps to protect yourselves against any form of influenza pandemic.

 respiratory systemWe must be aware and prepare for a pandemic whether Bird Flu Avian H5N1 related or not. That is the goal of this bird flu forecast public health service website. (Subscribe to bird flu forecast updates)

Click each section above to get to articles, PDF's, video's, poll results and up-to-date information you need.

Our main reason for re-designing the site was to simplify yet clarify the navigation. To that end we have created sections with just the relevant pages. Let us know if you have other suggestions or needs.
 

This months free video (requires free flash software):


 


How is H5N1 avian influenza A (in humans) and Pneumonia treated? - the clinical findings, treatments and considerations including an overview of pneumonia which official caused deaths in current victims. More ... »

The Ethics of Pandemics - all people should have access to life-saving services, but will they? more ... »

Face masks, which ones work and when to change them: Dr. Michael Osterholm says certain kinds of face masks can clearly reduce your risk of contracting the bird flu. Some have to be changed often ... know the details:  


See why, "Pandemic planning must be on the agenda of every school board, every faith-based ministry, every manufacturing plant, investment firm, mortuary, legislature, food distributor and media outlet - starting now!"
Read our Bird Flu Contingency or Family Plan to help you be prepared here ...»


OVERVIEW (what we know to date): Q&A about H5N1, Avian (Bird) Influenza »

Is mine a cold or flu, what are the differences? more ... »

Social Distancing - How to Protect Yourself Against Infection »

Also, experts warn against personal Tamiflu stockpile...!
Read more about Bird Flu Anti-Viral drugs, who creates them and who might produce H5N1, Avian / Bird Flu Vaccines ...»

National Bird Flu Pandemic Web site list. Know where to go for your local information and plans.

"Of all influenza A viruses circulating in birds, H5N1 is currently of greatest public-health concern because it has caused severe and fatal human infections with mortality ranging from 33% to over 50% since the first known outbreak in Hong Kong in 1997. The spread of H5N1 in poultry and wild birds in many countries has raised concerns about the increased risk of transmission of H5N1 virus to human beings."
    WHO Rapid Advice Guideline Panel on Avian Influenza, January 2007.

We have links to important official health sites starting here ...»


 

H5N1 Spread with Regression

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A/(H5N1) Reported to WHO (World Health Organization): since 2003

Azerbaijan cases = 8 deaths = 5
Bangladesh cases = 1 deaths = 0
Cambodia cases = 7 deaths = 7
China cases = 30 deaths = 20
Djibouti cases = 1 deaths = 0
Egypt cases = 50 deaths = 22
Indonesia cases = 135 deaths = 110
Iraq cases = 3 deaths = 2
Laos cases = 2 deaths = 2
Myanmar cases = 1 deaths = 0
Nigeria cases = 1 deaths = 1
Pakistan cases = 3 deaths = 1
Thailand cases = 25 deaths = 17
Turkey cases = 12 deaths = 4
Viet Nam cases = 106 deaths = 52
Total cases = 385 deaths = 243

Total number of cases includes number of deaths.
WHO reports only laboratory-confirmed cases. (19 June, 2008)


Over 60 countries have reported outbreaks of the H5N1 strain of avian influenza since 2003.

More than 300 million birds have died or been destroyed in an effort to prevent further spread of the virus, according to the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization.

That level of disease among domestic flocks has been characterized as an animal pandemic, and a costly one. $2.5 billion has gone into the international effort to control and eradicate the disease.

History reveals which strategies in the last three pandemics worked or did not work and why. More in the Pandemic History section »

External Link: (opens a new window) Global Spread of H5N1